Register      Login
Animal Production Science Animal Production Science Society
Food, fibre and pharmaceuticals from animals
REVIEW

Climate change and Australian livestock systems: impacts, research and policy issues

S. M. Howden A C , S. J. Crimp A and C. J. Stokes B
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, GPO Box 284, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.

B CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, PMB, PO Aitkenvale, Qld 4814, Australia.

C Corresponding author. Email: mark.howden@csiro.au

Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture 48(7) 780-788 https://doi.org/10.1071/EA08033
Submitted: 14 January 2008  Accepted: 3 April 2008   Published: 20 June 2008

Abstract

The recent changes in Australia’s climate, the likelihood of further changes over the next decades to centuries, and the likely significant impacts of these changes on the Australian livestock industries, provide increasing urgency to explore adaptation options more effectively. Climate and atmospheric changes are likely to impact on the quantity and reliability of forage production; forage quality; thermal stress on livestock; water demands for both animal needs and for growing forage; pest, disease and weed challenges; land degradation processes; and various social and economic aspects including trade. Potential adaptation options are available for moderate climate changes, with these often being variations of existing climate risk management strategies. However, to date there are few Australian examples where these adaptations have been assessed systematically on any scale (e.g. enterprise, regional, whole of industry or national). Nor have many studies been undertaken in a way that (i) effectively harness industry knowledge, (ii) undertake climate change analyses in the framework of existing operational systems, or (iii) assess climate change in the context of other socioeconomic or technical changes. It is likely that there are limits to the effectiveness of existing adaptations under more severe climate changes. In such cases more systemic changes in resource allocation need considering, such as targeted diversification of production systems and livelihoods. Dealing with the many barriers to effective adaptation will require ‘mainstreaming’ climate change into policies covering a range of scales, responsibilities and issues. This mainstreaming will facilitate the development of comprehensive, dynamic and long lasting policy solutions. The integrative nature of climate change problems requires science to include integrative elements in the search for solutions: a willingness to apply integrated rather than disciplinary science and a strengthening of the interface with decision-makers.


References


Abbs DJ , Timbal B , Rafter AS , Walsh KJE (2007) Severe weather. In ‘Climate change in Australia: technical report 2007’. (Eds KB Pearce, PN Holper, M Hopkins, WJ Bouma, PH Whetton, KJ Hennessy, SB Power) pp. 102–106. (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research: Aspendale)

Alexander L, Hope P, Collins D, Trewin B, Lynch A, Nicholls N (2007) Trends in Australia’s climate means and extremes, a global context. Australian Meteorological Magazine 56, 1–18. [Verified 13 January 2008]

Carter JO , Hall WB , Brook KD , McKeon GM , Day KA , Paull CJ (2000) Aussie GRASS: Australian grassland and rangeland assessment by spatial simulation. In ‘Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems – the Australian Experience’. (Eds G Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) pp. 329–350. (Kluwer Academic Press: Dordrecht, Netherlands)

Crimp SJ , Flood NR , Carter JO , Conroy JP , McKeon GM (2002) Evaluation of the potential impacts of climate change on native pasture production: implications for livestock carrying capacity. Final Report to the Australian Greenhouse Office. Australian Greenhouse Office, Canberra.

Crimp SJ , Ash AJ , Gifford RM , Howden SM , McKeon GM (2003) Grazing industry. In ‘An overview of the adaptive capacity of the Australian agricultural sector to climate change – options, costs and benefits’. (Eds SM Howden, A Ash, E Barlow, T Booth, S Charles, R Cechet, S Crimp, R Gifford, K Hennessy, R Jones, M Kirschbaum, G McKeon, H Meinke, S Park, R Sutherst, L Webb, P Whetton) pp. 33–47. (Australian Greenhouse Office: Canberra)

CSIRO (2007) Climate Change in Australia. Technical Report 2007. (Eds KB Pearce, PN Holper, M Hopkins, WJ Bouma, PH Whetton, KJ Hennessy, SB Power) p. 148. (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research: Aspendale)

Dalton G , Keogh M (2007) The implications for Australian agriculture of changing demand for animal protein in Asia. Research Report Overview, p. 16. Australian Farm Institute, Surry Hills.

Donnelly JR, Moore AD, Freer M (1997) GRAZPLAN: Decision Support Systems for Australian Grazing Enterprise-I. Overview of the GRAZPLAN Project, and a Description of the MetAccess and LambAlive DSS. Agricultural Systems 54, 57–76.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | [Verified 13 January 2008]

Howden SM , Turnpenny J (1997) Modelling heat stress and water loss of beef cattle in subtropical Queensland under current climates and climate change. In ‘Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation’. (Eds DA McDonald, M McAleer) pp. 1103–1108. (Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia: Canberra)

Howden SM , McKeon GM , Carter JO , Beswick A (1999 a) Potential global change impacts on C3-C4 grass distributions in eastern Australian rangelands. In ‘People and Rangelands: Building the Future. Proceedings of VI International Rangelands Congress’. (Eds D Eldridge, D Freudenberger) pp. 41–43. (International Rangelands Congress Inc.: Aitkenvale)

Howden SM , Hall WB , Bruget D (1999 b) Heat stress and beef cattle in Australian rangelands: recent trends and climate change. In ‘People and Rangelands: Building the Future. Proceedings of VI International Rangelands Congress’. (Eds D Eldridge, D Freudenberger) pp. 43–45. (International Rangelands Congress: Aitkenvale)

Howden SM, Moore JL, McKeon GM, Carter JO (2001) Global change and the mulga woodlands of south-west Queensland: greenhouse emissions, impacts and adaptation. Environment International 27, 161–166.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | CAS | PubMed | [Verified 13 January 2008]

IPCC (2007 a) ‘Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.’ (Eds S Solomon, D Qin, M Manning, Z Chen, M Marquis, KB Averyt, M Tignor, HL Miller) (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge)

IPCC (2007 b) ‘Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.’ (Eds ML Parry, OF Canziani, JP Palutikof, PJ van der Linden, CE Hanson) (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge)

Karoly DJ, Braganza K (2005) Attribution of recent temperature changes in the Australian region. Journal of Climate 18, 457–464.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | [Verified 9 April 2008]

Teyssonneyre F, Picon-Cochard C, Falcimagne R, Soussana JF (2002) Effects of elevated CO2 and cutting frequency on plant community structure in a temperate grassland. Global Change Biology 8, 1034–1046.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | open url image1

Tubiello FN, Soussana J-F, Howden SM (2007) Crop and pasture response to climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104, 19686–19690.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | CAS | PubMed | open url image1

van Ittersum MK, Howden SM, Asseng S (2003) Sensitivity of productivity and deep drainage of wheat cropping systems in a Mediterranean environment to changes in CO2, temperature and precipitation. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment 97, 255–273.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | open url image1

Wand SJE, Midgley GF, Jones MH, Curtis PS (1999) Responses of wild C4 and C3 grass (Poaceae) species to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration: a meta-analytic test of current theories and perceptions. Global Change Biology 5, 723–741.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | open url image1

White N, Sutherst RW, Hall N, Whish-Wilson P (2003) The vulnerability of the Australian beef industry to impacts of the cattle tick (Boophilus microplus) under climate change. Climatic Change 61, 157–190.
Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | open url image1

Wilson JR (1982) Environmental and nutritional factors affecting herbage quality. In ‘Nutritional limits to animal production from pastures’. (Ed. JB Hacker) pp. 111–131. (CAB International, Farnham Royal)