Register      Login
Australian Health Review Australian Health Review Society
Journal of the Australian Healthcare & Hospitals Association
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Does hospital occupancy impact discharge rates?

Gary Harrison A , Kathryn Zeitz B C G , Robert Adams D , The Health Observatory and Mark Mackay E F
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A College of Charleston, Charleston, SC 29424, USA. Email: harrisong@cofc.edu

B Central Adelaide Local Health Network, North Terrace, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia.

C School of Nursing, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia.

D Discipline of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital Campus, Woodville, SA 5011, Australia. Email: robert.adams@adelaide.edu.au

E School of Psychology, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia.

F Health Care Management, Flinders University, Bedford Park, SA 5042, Australia. Email: mark.mackay@flinders.edu.au

G Corresponding author. Email: kathryn.zeitz@health.sa.gov.au

Australian Health Review 37(4) 458-466 https://doi.org/10.1071/AH12012
Submitted: 3 December 2012  Accepted: 16 May 2013   Published: 10 July 2013

Abstract

Objective. To understand what impact hospital inpatient occupancy levels have on patient throughput by analysing one hospital’s occupancy levels and the rate of patient discharge.

Methods. A four-stage model was fit to hospital admission and separation data and used to analyse the per-capita separation rate according to the patient load and the impact of hospital over-census actions.

Results. Per-capita separation rates are significantly higher on days when the hospital declares an over-census due to emergency department crowding. Per-capita separation rates are also higher or lower on days with 8−10% higher or lower patient loads, respectively, but the response is not nearly as strong as the response to an over-census declaration, and is limited to patients with an elapsed stay of 10 days or more. Within the medical division there is an increase in per-capita separation rates on over-census days, but no significant difference in per-capita release rates for different patient loads. Within the surgical division there is no significant difference in per-capita separation rates on over-census days compared with other days, but the patient load does make a significant difference.

Conclusion. Staff do discharge a greater proportion of long-stay patients when the hospital is experiencing high demand and a lower proportion when occupancy is low, but the reasons driving those changes remains unclear.

What is known about the topic? The evidence regarding safe and efficient levels of hospital occupancy is limited. There is minimal empirical evidence that confirms the relationship between occupancy and discharge rates.

What does the paper add? Per-capita separation rates increase strongly on over-census days. The hospital increases per-capita separation rates on days of high occupancy and reduces it on days of low occupancy, mostly for long-stay patients with over 10 days of elapsed stay. The response to high occupancy is not as strong as the response to over-census. The medical division responds strongly to the over-census and the surgical division does not. The surgical division responds more to occupancy levels within its own division than does the medical division.

What are the implications for practitioners? The implementation of over-census-type responses to periods of high occupancy may result in increased per-capita separation rate. Using mathematical analysis to understand patient load on per capita separation is important to create a better understanding of health service delivery, thereby aiding hospital managers, and has the potential to guide system improvement. The clinical drivers for these changes and the service design implications require further investigation.


References

[1]  Generational Health Review Better health, better choices: final report of the South Australian Generational Health Review. Adelaide: Government of South Australia; 2003.

[2]  Australian Productivity Commission. Australia’s health workforce, research report. Canberra: Australian Productivity Commission; 2005.

[3]  World Health Organization. Active ageing: a policy framework. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2002.

[4]  OECD. A disease-based comparison of health systems – what is best and at what cost? Paris: OECD Publications; 2003.

[5]  Gottret P, Schieber G. Health financing revisited: a practitioner’ s guide. Danvers, MA: The World Bank; 2006.

[6]  Richardson DB, Mountain D. Myths versus facts in emergency department overcrowding and hospital access block. Med J Aust 2009; 190 369–74.
| 19351311PubMed |

[7]  Bain CA, Taylor PG, McDonnell G, Georgiou A. Myths of ideal hospital occupancy . Med J Aust 2010; 192 42–3.
| 20047548PubMed |

[8]  Krall S, O’Connor RE, Maercks L. Higher inpatient medical surgical bed occupancy extends admitted patients’ stay. West J Emerg Med. 2009; 10 93–6.
| 19561827PubMed |

[9]  Cummings E, Powell C, Churchill B, Turner B, Yee KC, Wong MC, Turner P, Discharge, referral and admission: a structured evidenced-based literature review. Hobart: eHealth services research group, University of Tasmania; 2010.

[10]  Bagust A, Place M, Posnet JW. Dynamics of bed use in accommodating emergency admissions: stochastic simulation model. BMJ 1999; 319 155–8.
Dynamics of bed use in accommodating emergency admissions: stochastic simulation model.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 1:STN:280:DyaK1MzjsFCitw%3D%3D&md5=4752e6d3bc621d94c27c889dd8c89fccCAS | 10406748PubMed |

[11]  Harrison GW, Shafer A, Mackay M. Modeling variability in hospital bed occupancy. Health Care Manage Sci 2005; 8 325–34.
Modeling variability in hospital bed occupancy.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

[12]  Keepers K, Harrison GW. Internal flows and frequency of internal overflows in a large teaching hospital. In S McClean, P Millard, E El-Darzi, C Nugent, editors. Intelligent patient management. Berlin: Springer; 2009. pp. 185–192.

[13]  Allder S, Silvester K, Walley P. Managing capacity and demand across the patient journey. Clin Med 2010; 10 13–5.
Managing capacity and demand across the patient journey.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 20408298PubMed |

[14]  Rae B, Busby W, Millard. P. Fast-tracking acute hospital care – from bed crisis to bed crisis. Aust Health Rev 2007; 31 50–62.
Fast-tracking acute hospital care – from bed crisis to bed crisis.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 17266488PubMed |

[15]  Public Health Information Development Unit. Population health profile of the Adelaide Western Division of General Practice: supplement. Population profile series no. 86a. Adelaide: Public Health Information Development Unit; 2007.

[16]  Harrison GW, Escobar GJ. Length of stay and imminent discharge probability distributions from multistage models: variation by diagnosis, severity of illness, and hospital. Health Care Manage Sci 2010; 13 268–79.
Length of stay and imminent discharge probability distributions from multistage models: variation by diagnosis, severity of illness, and hospital.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

[17]  Hilborn R, Mangel M. The ecological detective, confronting models with data. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press; 1997.

[18]  Kendall M, Stuart A. The advanced theory of statistics, Vol. 2. London: Charles Griffin and Company; 1979.

[19]  Feldstein M. Hospital planning and the demand for care. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 1964; 27 361–8.
Hospital planning and the demand for care.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |