CSIRO PUBLISHING | Crop and Pasture Science

Climate Change Impact and Adapting Strategies Based on Advanced Modelling Techniques

This Collection focuses on linking experiments more closely with statistics and ecophysiological crop modeling for a more comprehensive and integrated assessment of agricultural impacts and adaptations to climate change. It also covers the optimization of crop management strategies for climate resilience, taking into account biophysical and socioeconomic factors.

Collection Editors
Dr Jing Wang (Department of Agrometeorology, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China)
Dr Dengpan Xiao (College of Geography Science, Hebei Normal University, Shijiazhuang, China)
Dr Yang Song (Institute of Crop Sciences, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China)
Dr Yang Li (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China)
Dr Rui Bai (Hainan Climate Center, Haikou, China)

Last Updated: 18 Jul 2025

CP25045Future climate change impacts on grain yield and agricultural greenhouse-gas emissions under different cropping systems in the North China Plain

Huizi Bai

, Jianzhao Tang, Dengpan Xiao and De Li Liu

To address rising greenhouse-gas emissions from intensive farming in the North China Plain, we investigated five cropping systems under future climate scenarios. Although a warming climate may boost crop yields, traditional wheat–maize double-cropping worsens emissions. Shifting to three crops in a 2-year cropping system with straw mulching could reduce emissions by 21.6–25.5% compared with conventional cropping system. This optimized system maintains productivity while slashing environmental harm, offering a blueprint for sustainable agriculture in a warming world.

This article belongs to the collection: Climate Change Impact and Adapting Strategies Based on Advanced Modelling Techniques.