Financial sustainability of HIV services for key populations in four countries in Asia: a mixed-methods study
James Tapa

A
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# These authors contributed equally to this paper
Handling Editor: Alissa Davis
Abstract
Key populations and their sexual partners account for 98% of new HIV infections in the Asia–Pacific region. Despite increased domestic funding for HIV programs, concerns persist about the sustainability of services for key populations as external donor programs wind down, potentially reversing progress and contributing to new infections. This study aims to understand structural, political and institutional barriers to domestic funding for key population–led HIV programming in these countries through diverse stakeholder perspectives, including limitations of procurement processes, budget allocation systems and political will.
A mixed methods approach was utilized, with 60 participants completing an online survey and 145 participating in key informant interviews across four countries in 2022. Stakeholders were categorized according to their organization (government, key population–led, non-government (NGO), and multilateral), with 30 stakeholders per country identified. The same respondents were targeted for quantitative and qualitative data collection.
Key informant interviews included 60 staff from government organizations, 42 from key population–led organizations, 31 from NGOs, and 12 from multilateral organizations. For the survey (n = 60), responses were from key population–led (35%), government (32%), NGOs (23%) and multilateral organizations (10%). Regarding the timeline for increased domestic financing for key population–led HIV services, 45% of participants thought it would take 5–10 years to expand them without reliance on external donors, 25% thought more than 10 years and 5% thought between 0 and 3 years. Almost all government and key population–led organization respondents in each country agreed on government funding or purchasing of community-based services across various HIV-related areas, including linkage to treatment and antiretrovirals (92%), HIV self-testing (95%), PrEP (80%), and stigma-reduction programs (92%). Although most supported the government funding community-based services/NGOs for delivering essential key population HIV services, 28.3% believed that existing laws and policies are in place for such funding, highlighting implementation gaps while knowledge and buy-in remain high.
This study underscores the importance of identifying realistic timelines with key national stakeholders when designing and deciding timelines for transitioning from international external donor support to domestic budgeting for key population–led HIV programming. It also highlights that although buy-in and understanding of key interventions is well known, there is a lack of sustained funding for these interventions that are essential to ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030.
Keywords: Asia-Pacific, Bhutan, financial sustainability, HIV, key populations, Mongolia, Philippines, Sri Lanka.
Background
Across Asia and most of the world, there is a clear epidemiological rationale to scale up HIV services for key populations to meet national goals of ending AIDS by 2030. Key populations, such as men who have sex with men, sex workers, transgender people, and people who inject drugs and their sexual partners, account for 98% of new infections in the Asia–Pacific region.1 The risk of acquiring HIV is 26 times higher among gay men and other men who have sex with men, 29 times higher among people who inject drugs, 30 times higher for sex workers, and 13 times higher for transgender people, when compared with the general population.1,2Table 1 illustrates key epidemiological data from the four countries chosen for this study, including HIV prevalence by relevant demographic groups.
Country | HIV prevalence by population group | Population size estimates | Estimated number of people living with HIV | Estimated annual new HIV infections | % of people living with HIV who know their status (%) | % of people living with HIV who know their status and are on treatment (%) | % of people living with HIV who are on treatment and achieve viral suppression (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bhutan3 | All adults: 0.2% Men who have sex with men: 1.5% Sex workers: 3% People who inject drugs: unknown Transgender persons: 3% | Men who have sex with men: 1725 Sex workers: 597 People who inject drugs: unknown Transgender persons: 302 | 1341 | 764 | 64 | 97 | 97 | |
Mongolia5 | All adults: <0.01% Men who have sex with men: 6.2% Sex workers: 0% People who inject drugs: unknown Transgender persons: 5.4% | Men who have sex with men: 7481 Sex workers: 7333 People who inject drugs: unknown Transgender women: 800 | 650 | 436 | 44 | 85 | 95 | |
Philippines7 | All adults: 0.22% Men who have sex with men: 11.89% Sex workers: 0.17% People who inject drugs: 39.38% – male; 23.91% – female Transgender women: 4% | Men who have sex with men: 691,900 Sex workers: 88,000 People who inject drugs: 8000 Transgender women: 159,100 | 158,400 | 20,0008 | 65 | 62 | 95 | |
Sri Lanka5 | All adults: 0.02% Men who have sex with men: 1.5% Sex workers: 0.1% People who inject drugs: 0% Transgender persons: 1.4% | Men who have sex with men: 40,000 Sex workers: 30,000 People who inject drugs: unknown Transgender persons: 2200 | 3700 | 1069 | 70 | 83 | 91 |
Since 2022, Health Equity Matters, a peak national organization in Australia for the community HIV response, implemented the Sustainability of HIV Services for Key Populations in Southeast Asia (SKPA-2) multi-country program funded by the Global Fund. It aims to improve the sustainability of evidence-informed, prioritized HIV services for key populations in Bhutan, Mongolia, the Philippines and Sri Lanka. These countries were selected for this study as they are all middle-income countries scheduled to transition away from Global Fund funding in the coming years. This transition is largely shaped by donor-driven priorities and a shrinking international funding environment, with eligibility thresholds set by major funders, for example the Global Fund, based on criteria such as World Bank income classifications and national disease burden. Despite increases in domestic funding of HIV programs and health systems, both in nominal terms and as a share of total investments, there is evidence that services for key populations are at risk when external donor–funded programs cease, and this has the potential to reverse recent gains made and fuel further new infections. As a result, countries undergoing transition, particularly those classified as middle-income, are experiencing service gaps for key populations, who are often excluded from national health budgets and remain heavily reliant on donor-funded programs. These global shifts place the sustainability of key population-led HIV services at risk at a time when increased domestic investment is urgently needed. These countries’ diverse socio-political and economic contexts, along with varying stages of HIV program resourcing, provide a valuable basis for comparative analysis. Additionally, although these countries share the challenge of transitioning from external donor support, their differing governance structures, health systems, and approaches to key population engagement offer a nuanced understanding of the barriers and enablers to sustainable HIV responses.
The UNAIDS (2020) Global AIDS Report noted that commitments by Member States to the Fast-Track target of providing 30% of all HIV service delivery through community-led organizations (i.e. organizations led by the community, where decision-making and direction come from the community itself) was currently unable to be measured.7 The assumption among global stakeholders is that this target has not been met. The shift to service delivery through community-led organizations faces barriers, including governments being reluctant to prioritize key populations (in an environment to operationalize universal health coverage), and community-based organizations (CBOs; organizations working within communities to address local needs) lacking the required legislative frameworks or credentials to partner for service delivery. At the same time, government officials need to understand CBOs’ role in key population services and build their trust in these organizations as service providers. Bhutan, Mongolia, and Sri Lanka do not have an established system for purchasing services from CBOs (‘social contracting’). The financial support to engage community-led organizations in the national responses critically comes from external donors such as the Global Fund.
In Bhutan, which has a low-level HIV epidemic where most historical infections can be traced to sex work,10 the Royal Government of Bhutan currently funds around 50% of the National HIV Strategic Plan, and government co-financing of the response has increased over time. However, Bhutan remains highly dependent on donor funding for HIV services for key populations, as programs covering the highest-burden priority districts are funded through Global Fund grants, and the government has yet to establish mechanisms to fund community organizations to deliver services for key populations.3,5
In Mongolia, most new infections are among men who have sex with men, and the Global Fund also contributed around 50% of total HIV funding in 2021. Though government funding supports testing and treatment, government-funded services are targeted towards the general population and delivered through government health facilities. The new Health Insurance Fund in Mongolia ensures all people living with HIV (PLHIV) can receive free antiretroviral therapy, but funding related to HIV prevention services continues to be a challenge as these services are not covered by health insurance, and many key population members are unable to afford health insurance.5
From 2007 to 2022, HIV spending in the Philippines progressively increased, with domestic funding comprising a larger share of total HIV financing. International funding as a portion of HIV funding in the Philippines has declined to 10% of the total AIDS spending as of 2022.11 The Philippines has other preconditions for sustainability, including legal and regulatory frameworks promoting community organization participation in HIV service delivery and Department of Health rules governing the accreditation of community organizations as implementing entities.12 Despite the increase in domestic financing, the Philippines is dealing with a much larger epidemic than other SKPA-2 countries, and funding remains insufficient. Key challenges include realistic costing of and payment for services, and the inclusion of essential services such as prevention in social health insurance.13
In Sri Lanka, as of 2021, 48% of the National STD/AIDS Control Program (NSACP) budget is provided by external donors.14 The Global Fund finances all HIV self-testing, PrEP, and outreach in high-burden districts. These efforts, including the expansion of community-based HIV testing, have seen community organizations lead the way in identifying new people living with HIV in Sri Lanka. The country is emerging from a severe economic crisis, and the reliance on external donors for core HIV prevention services poses a serious risk to the control of the epidemic and the sustainability of the national response.
In this study, we aim to understand the barriers, such as unfit procurement systems and limited political will to domestic funding of key population–led HIV programming across Bhutan, Mongolia, the Philippines and Sri Lanka from the perspectives of a range of key stakeholders from the government to key population–led community organizations (i.e. organizations led by members of key populations, emphasizing their leadership and decision-making roles).
Methods
We conducted in-depth key informant interviews with 145 key informants, also referred to as stakeholders, and an anonymous online quantitative survey with 60 respondents (a sub-set of the key informant population), across the four countries. All participants were over 18 years of age and were recruited via email. Stakeholders were categorized on the basis of self-identification and targeted on the basis of organization type, categorized into four main groups: government staff, key population–led organization staff, NGO staff implementing HIV programs, and staff from multilateral organizations such as the United Nations. Stakeholders were listed by SKPA-2 sub-recipients and UN partners in each country, and a take-all approach was used to sample from these lists. The survey and key informant interviews were designed to allow non-sequential data collection, enabling participants to complete the survey either before or after their interview on the basis of their availability. This flexible approach accommodated participants’ schedules and ensured diverse perspectives. Ethical principles were followed in each country, including verbal informed consent, voluntary participation, and protection of participant confidentiality. As the data were collected and used as part of routine program implementation, and not categorized as research, submission to an Institutional Review Board (IRB) was not required.
Quantitative online survey
The survey aimed to gauge key stakeholders’ views on the ability to sustain HIV services with government financing. Survey questions were shared with a technical committee for review and input before finalizing, including staff and experts from UNAIDS, the Global Fund, and Health Equity Matters. The complete list of questions in the survey is provided (Supplementary material file S1). A link to Google Forms was used to administer the survey from October to December 2022. The survey link was shared with participants via email, and participants could complete the survey in English, Sinhala, or Tamil. Mongolian was not originally included nor requested by the in-country stakeholders. However, we plan to explore additional language options, including Mongolian, in future iterations of the survey. Stakeholders received up to four follow-up emails to improve the response rate among the target audience. Participation was voluntary, and no monetary compensation was provided to those participating.
Key informant interviews
In November 2022, key informant interviews were conducted with 145 individuals involved in the national HIV response using an interview guide that covered topics related to: (1) the financial landscape (including budget needs, budget provisions, and policies/regulations); (2) the description of decision-making processes; and (3) the context for HIV service provision budgeting, with a focus on structures, key processes, dates, and key institutions or departments and individuals involved in the HIV program budgeting process at national and sub-national levels. Some discussions were recorded, although note-taking was the norm. Some stakeholders were interviewed individually, whereas others participated in small group discussions involving 2–3 participants. Given the limited availability of key stakeholders, including senior government officials, these small discussions were designed to capture their valuable perspectives while maintaining respect for their availability. Notes were typed up and shared with the team lead prior to being incorporated into draft country reports. Interviews were conducted face-to-face by local data collectors in English and Mongolian and translated into local languages in Mongolia. Sinhala and Tagalog were used when appropriate and required in Sri Lanka and the Philippines, respectively. English language was used in Bhutan as English is a commonly used lingua franca. Three to four local consultants were hired in each country to support data collection and analysis. They included technical experts in financial sustainability, strategic information, and HIV service delivery, as well as human rights experts with educational backgrounds ranging from Bachelor’s degrees to Doctorates in Public Health, Medicine and Human Rights. All data collectors also received training in the methodology and objectives of the assessment. Data analysis was conducted collaboratively between national consultants and the international team. Key themes were identified and refined through joint discussions and iterative review. Country-level validation meetings were also held to ensure contextual accuracy and shared interpretation of the findings.
Data analysis
Data collected were analyzed iteratively throughout the process, with fact-checking and verification occurring where required. Survey results were analyzed using R and Power BI for dashboard development. Dashboard results can be accessed online.15 The quantitative results were transformed into graphs using Microsoft Excel. Where relevant, we conducted a chi-squared test to identify key differences between the government and respondents from key population–led organizations. Qualitative data were translated and analyzed by the national and international consultant teams following the structure of the topic guide. Insights were validated through a series of data validation meetings held in each country in February 2023. Thematic analysis, guided by the results of the key informant interviews, was used to supplement the quantitative survey findings. Recurring patterns and themes in the data were documented across partners. Multiple researchers were involved in reviewing and identifying themes and in ensuring to mitigate any individual bias to enhance the rigor of the qualitative review process. The qualitative findings enrich the understanding of the quantitative data. They help contextualize the data by highlighting unique socio-cultural and institutional opportunities and barriers existing related to HIV services funding in each country. We present the results that emerged on the basis of the quantitative and qualitative data into three results sub-categories.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
An Institutional Review Board (IRB) ethics review was not submitted as data were collected as part of a routine program rather than designed as a research project. The primary purpose of this assessment was to inform the ongoing implementation and improvement of the SKPA-2 program within its operational context. The data collected were intended for use among the program stakeholders to enhance service delivery and decision-making. As such, the activity did not meet the criteria for application of human subjects research, which typically necessitates IRB oversight. It is worthy to note that ethical considerations, including participant confidentiality and voluntary participation, were carefully adhered to for data collection. Participants were provided with the ability to opt-in or not participate in the online pulse survey. Participants were given an overview of the project and the rationale for the online survey and how they were selected. Participation was optional and could be completed by oneself. Participants were informed that all responses are anonymous and data would be kept confidential.
Results
Key informant interviews included 60 government staff, 42 staff from key population–led organizations, 31 NGO staff, and 12 staff from multilateral organizations. The same participants who were included in the face-to-face interviews were given the opportunity and option to take part in the questionnaire. Sixty stakeholders responded to the quantitative survey out of 145 invited, with an overall response rate of 41%. This varied from a low of 37% in the Philippines (16/43) to a high of 50% (19/28) for Bhutan. A cross-section of participants from different stakeholder groups was recruited, as summarized in Table 2.
Mongolia n (%) | Bhutan n (%) | Philippines n (%) | Sri Lanka n (%) | Total n (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Government organization | 3 (25.0) | 8 (42.1) | 3 (18.8) | 5 (38.5) | 19 (31.7) | |
Key population-led organization | 3 (25.0) | 9 (47.4) | 5 (31.3) | 4 (30.8) | 21 (35.0) | |
Multilateral organization | 3 (25.0) | 1 (5.3) | 1 (6.3) | 1 (7.7) | 6 (10.0) | |
Non-governmental organization | 3 (25.0) | 1 (5.3) | 7 (43.8) | 3 (23.1) | 14 (23.3) |
Government co-financing of key population HIV services
Stakeholders across all countries resoundingly felt that governments are not currently funding key population HIV programs. Only 7% of all respondents stated that their government is already funding key population HIV services using domestic resources, which was highest in Bhutan (11%) and lowest in Mongolia (0%). The Philippines was the only country with government respondents agreeing that key population HIV services are currently being co-financed, with 33% of Filipino government respondents agreeing. None of the government respondents in Bhutan, Mongolia and Sri Lanka saw their government as currently co-financing key population HIV services.
To understand progress towards financial sustainability, participants were asked about the likelihood of the government co-financing priority key population–led HIV services in the next few years. Although most respondents in Bhutan (74%) and the Philippines (63%) stated that it was likely or very likely this could take place within 2 years using domestic resources, there were differences in this finding by stakeholder group. In Bhutan, government respondents were more likely to foresee government co-financing of key population–led services in the next 2 years (88%), compared with 55% for key population–led organization respondents. The situation was reversed in the Philippines, with key population–led organization respondents (80%) more likely to see this taking place than government respondents (33%). This could be because the Philippines already invests domestic resources in key population HIV services because it has a much larger epidemic when compared with the other three countries. The situation was very different in Mongolia and Sri Lanka, where most respondents reported government co-financing to be unlikely or very unlikely (Mongolia: government (67%) and key population–led (67%); Sri Lanka: government (60%) and key population–led (75%)).
‘An important consideration in designing a mechanism to fund services to be delivered by CBOs is that the true cost of providing key population–led services is greater than the cost of the drug or commodity [and includes Human Resources and administrative costs as well. While government and CSO [civil society organization] working on HIV have existing partnerships and contracting, these are restricted to Global Fund grant making only]’.16 While Mongolia’s new single Health Insurance Fund system ‘improves health financing overall, participants in the baseline assessment identified some challenges for HIV services for key populations that still need to be resolved. These challenges relate to funding for HIV prevention services, equity issues, and the costing of HIV services’.17 Sri Lanka’s challenge is different because the political and economic instability faced in the country is anticipated to further exacerbate already poor outlook on health financing.
With external donor support expected to decrease, prospects of government co-financing scale-up of key population HIV services are low over the next 5 years. For example, most government respondents in Bhutan (88%), Mongolia (100%), the Philippines (100%), and Sri Lanka (80%) believed that the government would need 5–10 plus years to be able to afford to expand key population HIV services without reliance on external donors. Similarly, all key population–led organization respondents were either not sure (43%) or believed it would take 5–10 plus years (57%), with no key population–led organization or government respondents feeling it would be possible in less than 5 years.
The main feedback from stakeholders across countries ‘was the need for a more realistic timeframe to achieve financial sustainability, in particular, to allow more time for piloting co-financing [and convince relevant stakeholders and policymakers in country].’ In Mongolia, the government is not opposed, in principle, to social contracting of service delivery by civil society organizations. The regulatory environment is conducive, however Mongolia’s economic situation and budget constraints are likely to make social contracting at scale challenging. Sri Lanka is in the same boat, as the country is still emerging from an economic crisis.18
Progress towards 95-95-95 targets
Most government and key population–led organization respondents in each country agreed that the government should fund or purchase CBO services in the following areas of work, presented in Table 3.
Areas of work | Country | Government (%) | Key population–led (%) | P-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
HIV testing | Bhutan | 100 | 100 | – | |
Philippines | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Mongolia | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Sri Lanka | 100 | 50 | 0.96 | ||
Community outreach | Bhutan | 63 | 100 | 0.02 | |
Philippines | 100 | 80 | 0.80 | ||
Mongolia | 67 | 67 | 0.5 | ||
Sri Lanka | 100 | 75 | 0.88 | ||
PrEP | Bhutan | 75 | 66 | 0.80 | |
Philippines | 100 | 80 | 0.80 | ||
Mongolia | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Sri Lanka | 80 | 50 | 0.83 | ||
Linkage to treatment and ART | Bhutan | 88 | 89 | 0.46 | |
Philippines | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Mongolia | 67 | 100 | 0.14 | ||
Sri Lanka | 100 | 75 | 0.88 | ||
Community-led monitoring | Bhutan | 88 | 100 | 0.14 | |
Philippines | 100 | 80 | 0.80 | ||
Mongolia | 67 | 67 | 0.50 | ||
Sri Lanka | 80 | 75 | 0.57 | ||
Programs addressing human rights and gender-related barriers | Bhutan | 100 | 100 | – | |
Philippines | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Mongolia | 100 | 67 | 0.86 | ||
Sri Lanka | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Programs addressing stigma and discrimination | Bhutan | 100 | 100 | – | |
Philippines | 100 | 100 | – | ||
Mongolia | 67 | 67 | 0.50 | ||
Sri Lanka | 100 | 75 | 0.88 |
Although most key population–led respondents in each country (range: 67–89%) agreed that the government should fund advocacy services, responses for funding among the government respondents varied from 33% in Mongolia to 100% in the Philippines and Sri Lanka.
Despite most respondents overall in Bhutan (63%), Mongolia (42%), the Philippines (81%) and Sri Lanka (62%) agreeing that government funding of community organizations to deliver key population HIV services is a good use of resources, a much smaller proportion of the respondents in Bhutan (16%), Mongolia (25%), the Philippines (50%) and Sri Lanka (23%) agreed that there are currently laws and policies already in place for government to fund CBO or NGO HIV services.
Many smaller civil society organizations and members of key populations have little agency, due to low levels of literacy and imperfect understanding of how ‘the system’ works, including the timing and process of key deliberations.18
The responses were similar between government and key population–led organization respondents in terms of believing that key populations are not adequately represented in planning and decision-making forums in Bhutan (63% and 56%, respectively), Mongolia (67% and 67%, respectively) and Sri Lanka (60% and 75%, respectively). However, 67% of government respondents in the Philippines believed that key populations are adequately represented, compared with 20% of key population–led organization respondents.
Key aspects of the HIV response are underfunded
Most respondents in Bhutan (68%), Mongolia (83%), the Philippines (69%), and Sri Lanka (92%) believed that PrEP is an important part of the national HIV response. However, only a minority in Bhutan (16%), the Philippines (38%), and Sri Lanka (31%) believed PrEP to be readily accessible to key populations. The exception was Mongolia, where most (67%) respondents believed key populations could readily access PrEP.
Similarly, despite most respondents in Bhutan (84%), Mongolia (75%), the Philippines (81%), and Sri Lanka (85%) believing that HIV self-testing (HIVST) is an important strategy for filling the remaining gaps in the 95-95-95 targets, fewer than half believed HIVST was readily accessible by key populations in Mongolia (25%), the Philippines (31%), and Sri Lanka (46%). The exception was Bhutan, where about half (53%) believed that key populations could readily access HIVST.
HIV testing services, including self-testing, seem to face less institutional barriers than the roll-out of PrEP with more buy-in. In Mongolia, the situation regarding PrEP remains precarious as there is no funding earmarked for PrEP in the government budget. The main restriction for national funding is that the health insurance system does not currently cover PrEP-related reimbursements. Preliminary agreement on earmarking budget for ARV [antiretroviral] procurement has been reached, but a final decision has not been made on this or whether PrEP will be included and who would be eligible (Mongolia report page 32).18
All government and key population–led organization respondents in Bhutan, Mongolia and the Philippines agreed that stigma and discrimination are an important barrier for key populations accessing HIV services in their country, except for Sri Lanka (40% and 100%, respectively), where fewer than half of government respondents believed it is the case. However, fewer than half of the respondents in Bhutan (21%), Mongolia (25%), the Philippines (44%) and Sri Lanka (46%) believed that there are national or localized resources available for addressing stigma and discrimination for key populations.
Although most respondents across the countries and stakeholder groups understand the significance that stigma and discrimination play in key populations’ lives and that they affect their ability to access HIV-related services, there is a clear gap between understanding this and the availability of resources to address this issue.
[In Mongolia]. government stakeholders were less likely to identify stigma and discrimination as barriers to services than community stakeholders. Stakeholders from non-government service providers were aware of the adverse impact of stigma and discrimination but were more likely to view internalized stigma was responsible for limiting vulnerable people’s access to services [as opposed to stigma perpetrated by healthcare providers or other citizens].17
Only a minority believed that there is a functioning referral mechanism to legal services in case of incidents of patient rights violations or violence linked to HIV service access. Fewer than half of key population–led organization respondents believed the referral mechanism was functioning in Mongolia (33%), Sri Lanka (25%), the Philippines (40%), and Bhutan (44%). However, the range of proportions of government respondents who believed there is a functional referral mechanism was as low as 13% in Bhutan, 33% in Mongolia, 40% in Sri Lanka, to as high as 67% in the Philippines.
Discussion
Our research has identified and categorized the barriers to increasing domestic financing for key population–led HIV service provision across various stakeholders, from government to key population–led organizations. Knowledge and recognition that key population leadership is important was found across most stakeholder groups. However, we found a mismatch between recognition and sustained government funding to support key population leadership across all stakeholder groups. Contracting out key HIV services to CBOs (including HIV testing, outreach, PrEP, addressing stigma and discrimination and community-led monitoring) was supported by most government and key population–led respondents in the survey. This support is welcomed as research shows that key population–led HIV services such as PrEP and HIV testing are more cost-effective when compared with non-key population–led service delivery.19 However, the prospect of establishing ‘social contracting’ systems quickly may be unrealistic, given most government respondents estimate it will take 5–10 years before governments can afford to support the expansion of services with domestic funding. In countries such as Bhutan, sociocultural factors such as the government’s desire to limit the number of registered NGOs – due to concerns about the proliferation of NGOs in neighboring countries such as Nepal and India – highlight the delicate balance between fostering community-led services and political will. While governments acknowledge the importance of community-led HIV service delivery, these concerns can temper support for formal social contracting systems, as authorities seek to balance the benefits of community engagement with control over public service provision. These factors underscore the need for culturally tailored approaches to introducing social contracting. This timeline aligns with other contexts and countries where social contracting systems take years to set up and implement.20 Similarly, we must look at the overall disease burden of HIV in these countries and the other disease areas competing for domestic funding resources within the national health budget. In the meantime, efforts to establish social contracting–related procurement capacity, systems and processes should be prioritized to ensure a smooth transition to contracting out community-based services once the funding situation improves. This may include building service procurement capacity among national HIV programs while facilitating the registration of key population–led organizations so they can manage finances and project performance aspects associated with performance-based contracts.
Although there are high levels of demand and understanding that HIVST and PrEP are important strategies among key stakeholders to ending AIDS, there is an urgent need to address access issues to ensure key populations can readily access these services. Governments can increase the involvement of CBOs by creating national registration and accreditation systems to enable them to deliver services, standardizing operating procedures and training modules on use of PrEP and HIVST tailored for key populations,16,21 as well as expanding the role of private pharmacies and lay counsellors and community health workers in service delivery and access21,22 as demonstrated in the Princess PrEP program in Thailand and a community-led HIVST program in Vietnam.23,24 PrEP and HIVST services must be integrated into national testing strategies and guidelines and the government procurement budget.16,17 National health insurance systems need to amend eligibility criteria for PrEP to make it available for wider vulnerable populations to cover the majority of key populations and to address gaps in insurance coverage for PrEP-related services.21,22
Our study highlighted that stigma and discrimination remain a significant barrier in the included countries. While Mongolia’s historical legacy of Soviet influence has contributed to stigma, additional influences such as traditional gender norms and limited public awareness of non-heteronormative identities has perpetuated conservative attitudes toward LGBTQ+ individuals. This is consistent with existing literature that outlines how key populations face stigma and discrimination that affect their ability to seek HIV health services.25,26 We found a disconnect between the high proportions of belief and understanding of the major impact stigma and discrimination have on accessing HIV services, compared with the available national or localized resources addressing stigma and discrimination for key populations. Despite this widescale recognition of the impact of stigma and discrimination on HIV services and prevention of new infection, rollout and success of stigma- and discrimination-reduction interventions are limited globally.27 Stakeholders from all countries included mostly reported that local and national resources remain inadequate. Our finding that most stakeholders were unsure about or did not believe there was a functioning referral mechanism to legal services in case of patient rights violations or violence highlights that some international donor agency initiatives on safeguarding and rights are not trickling down to country-level implementation.
While the Global Fund and international donor agencies are decreasing their funding and moving to transition out of low-burden countries, the challenges and potential risks must be adequately assessed. Ren et al. analyzed and evaluated these potential risks for Vietnam, Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Myanmar and highlighted timelines, national health expenditure, burden of disease, and stigma and discrimination that may impact the ability of countries to fully transition to domestic resources following international donor withdrawal.28 These are particularly illuminating and help support and understand some factors affecting stakeholders’ perceptions of transition timelines in Bhutan, Mongolia, the Philippines and Sri Lanka.
This study should be read with consideration of some limitations. The baseline assessment was conducted early in the program to ensure that findings and recommendations could inform SKPA-2 program activities. Thus, data collection periods for both quantitative and qualitative data collection were limited to between 1- and 4-week periods. Similarly, the response rates varied per country, and given that there are small sample sizes, these results should not be seen as representative of all stakeholders in each country. Nevertheless, our study provides important insights from a range of stakeholders. Although the survey was available in three languages, stakeholders might have been unable to participate if their level of English proficiency was low, including among some stakeholders in Mongolia, the Philippines, and Bhutan, so these results may be more illustrative of English-proficient stakeholders.
Conclusion
This study underscores the importance of identifying realistic timelines with key national stakeholders, including government and key population community leaders, in designing and deciding timelines for transitioning from international external donor support to domestic budgeting for key population–led HIV programming. Key population–led HIV programs have largely been developed and implemented using Global Fund support, and although transition planning has begun in all countries, setting up the systems and conducting adequate advocacy work may require an additional 5–10 years. Addressing the regulatory barriers and implementation gaps is key to facilitating this transition effectively and efficiently, ensuring that the set-up of the national system is fit for purpose and will continue once external donor support ends. It also highlights that although buy-in and understanding of key interventions is well known, there is a lack of sustained funding for these interventions that are paramount to promoting sustainability and working towards ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030.
Data availability
All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article and its supporting information file: Supplementary material file S1. Survey Questionnaire. Any further requests for data that support the findings of this study are also available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Conflicts of interest
MM, FY and MK receive funding from the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria to run the SKPA-2 project. JO is a board director of Health Equity Matters. Jason Ong is a co-Editor-in-Chief for Sexual Health but was not involved in the peer review or decision-making process for this paper.
Declaration of funding
JO is funded by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Fund (GNT1193955). SKPA-2 is supported by the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.
Author contributions
FY and MM conceived the idea. JT and MK analyzed the data. JO, JT and MK drafted the manuscript. All authors revised the manuscript before approving the final version submitted for publication.
Acknowledgements
We thank the team of consultants who supported data collection and analysis as part of the baseline assessment of the Sustainability of HIV Services for Key Populations in Southeast Asia (SKPA-2) program. This includes Jim Rock, Regional Team Leader; Dr Katya Burns, Human Rights and Gender expert; Purvi Shah, Regional Consultant, UNAIDS Regional Support Team, Asia Pacific and WHO; Dr Heather-Marie Schmidt, Regional Advisor (PrEP), UNAIDS Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific and WHO; and Dr Ye Yu Shwe, Strategic Information Officer, UNAIDS Regional Support Team, Asia Pacific. Bhutan country consultant team members included Dr Gyambo Sithey, Tandin Dorji and Yeshey Dorji. Mongolian country consultant team members were Chuluunzagd Batbayar, Dr Baigalmaa Dangaa, and Gundegmaa Altankhuyag. The Philippines’ consultant team members included Agnes Kristine Arban Quilinguing and Dr Marlene Bermejo. Sri Lankan country consultant team members included Sathiesh Kumar, Ambika Satkunanathan and Dr Kumari Navaratne.
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