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Article     |     Next >>   Contents Vol 1(2)

The Statistical Analsis of the Canadian Lynx cycle. 1. Structure and Prediction.

PAP Moran

Australian Journal of Zoology 1(2) 163 - 173
Published: 1953


Trapping records of the Canadian lynx show a strongly marked 10-year cycle. The logarithms of the numbers trapped are analysed as if they were a random process of autoregressive type. Such a process appears to fit the data reasonably well. The significance of this for the explanation and prediction of the cycle is discussed. The results will be used in a later paper to consider how far meteorological phenomena influence the lynx population and may be responsible for the observed synchronization of the cycle over the whole of Canada.

Full text doi:10.1071/ZO9530163

© CSIRO 1953

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