Register      Login
Pacific Conservation Biology Pacific Conservation Biology Society
A journal dedicated to conservation and wildlife management in the Pacific region.
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Geographical bias constrains global knowledge of phenological change

Nathalie Butt https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1517-6191
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Qld 4072, Australia and Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, UK. Email: n.butt@uq.edu.au

Pacific Conservation Biology 25(4) 345-347 https://doi.org/10.1071/PC18073
Submitted: 20 September 2018  Accepted: 16 December 2018   Published: 15 January 2019

Abstract

Climate change is already driving shifts in phenology, the timing of life-history events such as flowering, fruiting, egg-laying, birth, and migration, and this is set to increase. Although climate change is happening, and will continue to happen, globally, most of our ecological knowledge around its potential impacts on phenology is derived from temperate areas and ecosystems in the Northern Hemisphere, and information from the Southern Hemisphere is greatly lacking. This would not be a problem if biomes, ecosystems, species assemblages and species were the same in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, but as they, in fact, differ across many factors and scales, understanding gained from one hemisphere is not necessarily applicable to the other.

Additional keywords: biodiversity conservation, climate change, ecosystem cascades, Southern Hemisphere, tree phenology, tropical forests


References

Brearley, F. Q., Proctor, J., Suriantata Nagy, L., Dalrymple, G., and Voysey, B. C. (2007). Reproductive phenology over a 10-year period in a lowland evergreen rain forest of central Borneo. Journal of Ecology 95, 828–839.
Reproductive phenology over a 10-year period in a lowland evergreen rain forest of central Borneo.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Butt, N., Seabrook, L. M., Maron, M., Law, B., Dawson, T. P., and McAlpine, C. (2015). The impact of changing climate extremes on tree flowering phenology and dependent vertebrate fauna. Global Change Biology 21, 3267–3277.
The impact of changing climate extremes on tree flowering phenology and dependent vertebrate fauna.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 25605302PubMed |

Chambers, L. E., Altwegg, R., Barbraud, C., Barnard, P., Beaumont, L. J., Crawford, R. J. M., Durant, J. M., Hughes, L., Keatley, M. R., Low, M., Morellato, P. C., Poloczanska, E. S., Ruoppolo, V., Vanstreels, R. E. T., Woehler, E. J., and Wolfaardt, A. C. (2013). Phenological changes in the Southern Hemisphere. PLoS One 8, e75514.
Phenological changes in the Southern Hemisphere.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 24098389PubMed |

Chown, S. L., Sinclair, B. J., Leinaas, H. P., and Gaston, K. J. (2004). Hemispheric asymmetries in biodiversity – a serious matter for ecology. PLoS Biology 2, e406.
Hemispheric asymmetries in biodiversity – a serious matter for ecology.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 15547645PubMed |

Cohen, J., Lajeunesse, M., and Rohr, J. R. (2018). A global synthesis of phenological responses to climate change. Nature Climate Change 8, 224–228.
A global synthesis of phenological responses to climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Gallagher, R. V., Hughes, L., and Leishman, M. R. (2009). Phenological trends among Australian alpine species: using herbarium records to identify climate-change indicators. Australian Journal of Botany 57, 1–9.
Phenological trends among Australian alpine species: using herbarium records to identify climate-change indicators.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

IPCC (2013). Climate Change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (Eds T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.‐K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley.) IPCC, Cambridge.

Kharouba, H. M., Ehrlén, J., Gelman, A., Bolmgren, K., Allen, J. M., Travers, S. E., and Wolkovich, E. M. (2018). Global shifts in the phenological synchrony of species interactions over recent decades. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115, 5211–5216.
Global shifts in the phenological synchrony of species interactions over recent decades.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 29666247PubMed |

Morellato, L. P. C., Alberton, B., Alvarado, S. T., Borges, B., Buisson, E., Camargo, M. G. G., Cancian, L. F., Carstensen, D. W., Escobar, D. F. E., Leite, P. T. P., Mendoza, I., Rocha, N. M. W. B., Soares, N. C., Silva, T. S. F., Staggemeier, V. G., Streher, A. S., Vargas, B. C., and Peres, C. A. (2016). Linking plant phenology to conservation biology. Biological Conservation 195, 60–72.
Linking plant phenology to conservation biology.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Parmesan, C., and Hanley, M. E. (2015). Plants and climate change: complexities and surprises. Annals of Botany 116, 849–864.
Plants and climate change: complexities and surprises.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 26555281PubMed |

Reside, A. E., Butt, N., and Adams, V. M. (2017). Adapting systematic conservation planning for climate change. Biodiversity and Conservation 27, 1–29.
Adapting systematic conservation planning for climate change.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Wolkovich, E. M., Cook, B. I., and Davies, J. (2014). Progress towards an interdisciplinary science of plant phenology: building predictions across space, time and species diversity. New Phytologist 201, 1156–1162.
Progress towards an interdisciplinary science of plant phenology: building predictions across space, time and species diversity.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 24649487PubMed |