Corrigendum to: Circular Flip-Flop Index: quantifying revision stability of forecasts of direction
Deryn Griffiths , Nicholas Loveday , Benjamin Price , Michael Foley and Alistair McKelvie
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 75, ES21010_CO https://doi.org/10.1071/ES21010_CO
Published: 29 May 2025
This corrigendum corrects Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 71(3) 266–271. doi:10.1071/ES21010
The authors of the above-mentioned paper regret to inform readers that the two values of 30 in the bottom row in Table 1 were incorrect in the published version of this paper. Those values should instead be 16. This is corrected below (highlighted cells):
TableĀ 1.
Forecast sequences for wind direction and corresponding Circular Flip-Flop Index calculations. Forecast fi was issued i days prior to the validity period of the forecast.
Official forecasts for Melbourne Airport valid 0000 UTC 27 December 2020 | Synthetic Example 1 | Synthetic Example 2 | Synthetic Example 3 | Synthetic Example 4 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Direction (°) | ||||||
f7 | 9 | 50 | 340 | 360 | 360 | |
f6 | 341 | 80 | 10 | 40 | 80 | |
f5 | 354 | 70 | 360 | 80 | 360 | |
f4 | 353 | 120 | 50 | 120 | 240 | |
f3 | 5 | 110 | 40 | 160 | 320 | |
f2 | 1 | 100 | 30 | 200 | 80 | |
f1 | 359 | 60 | 350 | 240 | 360 | |
fi in {f5, f6, f7} | 28 | 30 | 30 | 80 | 80 | |
fi in {f1, f2, f3} | 6 | 50 | 50 | 80 | 80 | |
fi in {f1, f2, f3, f4, f5, f6, f7} | 28 | 70 | 70 | 240 | 200 | |
Circular Flip-Flop Index (°) | ||||||
For sequence f5, f6, f7 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 80 | |
For sequence f1, f2, f3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | |
For sequence f1, f2, f3, f4, f5, f6, f7 | 6.4 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 76 |
Thank you to Philip Gill and Clare Bysouth from The Met Office for alerting us to the error.
We apologise for these errors and any confusion their inclusion may have caused.