Register      Login
Wildlife Research Wildlife Research Society
Ecology, management and conservation in natural and modified habitats
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Adaptive monitoring: using citizen scientists to track wolf populations when winter-track counts become unreliable

Linas Balčiauskas https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9672-5265 A D , Laima Balčiauskienė A , John A. Litvaitis B and Eugenijus Tijušas C
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Nature Research Centre, Akademijos 2, Vilnius, LT 08412, Lithuania.

B University of New Hampshire, 105 Main Street, Durham, NH 03824, USA.

C Lithuanian Hunters and Fishers Association, M. Sleževičiaus 15, Vilnius, LT 06326, Lithuania.

D Corresponding author. Email: linas.balciauskas@gamtc.lt, linas.balciauskas@gmail.com

Wildlife Research - https://doi.org/10.1071/WR19180
Submitted: 29 September 2019  Accepted: 21 June 2020   Published online: 7 September 2020

Abstract

Context: In many countries, annual wolf surveys based on snow-track counts have become unreliable because of inconsistent snow coverage. We considered incidental observations by volunteers throughout the year as an alternative monitoring protocol.

Aims: We recruited interested citizens throughout Lithuania, including hunters, foresters and farmers, to estimate wolf distribution, abundance, pack numbers and group size from 2015 to 2018.

Methods: Observation-based records of wolves were collected using simple questionnaires that included time, location and method of observation (e.g. track, scat, vocalisation or prey-kill remains). We summarised 979 reports of 1938 observed wolves.

Key results: Volunteer reports suggested an increase in wolf distribution and abundance from 2015 to 2018. The observed number of wolf packs was estimated to be at least 100 by 2018, pack size increased to 3.6, and the share of single wolves decreased from 56% in 2015 to 40% in 2018.

Conclusions: We found that volunteer observations can provide useful information on wolf distribution, pack size and pack numbers. Our results support previous reports of expanding wolf populations in the Baltic region.

Implications: Results of our citizen-science effort by Nature Research Centre and Lithuanian Hunters and Fishers Association have been accepted by the Ministry of Environment as a complement to other surveys in Lithuania and should aid in developing an informed wolf-management policy.

Additional keywords: carnivores, citizen scientists, stakeholders, volunteer monitoring.


References

Arbieu, U., Mehring, M., Bunnefeld, N., Kaczensky, P., Reinhardt, I., Ansorge, H., Böhning-Gaese, K., Glikman, G. A., Kluth, G., Nowak, C., and Müller, T. (2019). Attitudes towards returning wolves (Canis lupus) in Germany: exposure, information sources and trust matter. Biological Conservation 234, 202–210.
Attitudes towards returning wolves (Canis lupus) in Germany: exposure, information sources and trust matter.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Balčiauskas, L. (2004). ‘Sausumos Ekosistemų Tyrimo Metodai. I Dalis. Gyvūnų Apskaitos.’ [Methods of investigation of terrestrial ecosystems. Part I. Animal surveys.] (VUL: Vilnius, Lithuania.)

Balčiauskas, L. (2008a). Wolf numbers and distribution in Lithuania and problems of species conservation. Annales Zoologici Fennici 45, 329–334.
Wolf numbers and distribution in Lithuania and problems of species conservation.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Balčiauskas, L. (2008b). Human–wolf coexistence in the Baltic. In ‘Proceedings of the International Symposium Coexistence of Large Carnivores and Humans: Threat or Benefit’. (Eds R. G. Potts, and K. Hecker.) pp. 68–72. (CIC: Belgrade, Serbia.)

Balčiauskas, L., Trakimas, G., Juškaitis, R., Ulevičius, A., and Balčiauskienė, L. (1999). ‘Lietuvos Žinduolių, Varliagyvių Ir Roplių Atlasas. Antras Papildytas Leidimas. [Atlas of Lithuanian Mammals, Amphibians and Reptiles.] 2nd edn. (Akstis: Vilnius, Lithuania.)

Balčiauskas, L., Balčiauskienė, L., and Volodka, H. (2002). Preliminary assessment of damage caused by the wolf in Lithuania. Acta Zoologica Lituanica 12, 419–427.
Preliminary assessment of damage caused by the wolf in Lithuania.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Barber-Meyer, S. M., Mech, L. D., Newton, W. E., and Borg, B. L. (2016). Differential wolf-pack-size persistence and the role of risk when hunting dangerous prey. Behaviour 153, 1473–1487.
Differential wolf-pack-size persistence and the role of risk when hunting dangerous prey.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Bautista, C., Revilla, E., Naves, J., Albrecht, J., Fernández, N., Olszańska, A., Adamec, M., Berezowska-Cnota, T., Ciucci, P., Groff, C., Härkönen, S., Huber, D., Jerina, K., Jonozovič, M., Karamanlidis, A. A., Palazón, S., Quenette, P. Y., Rigg, R., Seijas, J., Swenson, J. E., Talvi, T., and Selva, N. (2019). Large carnivore damage in Europe: analysis of compensation and prevention programs. Biological Conservation 235, 308–316.
Large carnivore damage in Europe: analysis of compensation and prevention programs.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Bela, G., Peltola, T., Young, J. C., Balázs, B., Arpin, I., Pataki, G., Hauck, J., Kelemen, E., Kopperoinen, L., Van Herzele, A., Keune, H., Hecker, S., Šuškevičs, M., Roy, H. E., Itkonen, P., Kulvik, M., Lászlo, M., Basnou, C., Pino, J., and Bonn, A. (2016). Learning and the transformative potential of citizen science. Conservation Biology 30, 990–999.
Learning and the transformative potential of citizen science.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 27185104PubMed |

Bonnet‐Lebrun, A.-S., Karamanlidis, A. A., de Gabriel Hernando, M., Renner, I., and Gimenez, O. (2019). Identifying priority conservation areas for a recovering brown bear population in Greece using citizen science data. Animal Conservation , .
Identifying priority conservation areas for a recovering brown bear population in Greece using citizen science data.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Bonter, D. N., and Cooper, C. B. (2012). Data validation in citizen science: a case study from Project FeederWatch. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 10, 305–307.
Data validation in citizen science: a case study from Project FeederWatch.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Bowser, A., Wiggins, A., Shanley, L., Preece, J., and Henderson, S. (2014). Sharing data while protecting privacy in citizen science. Interactions 21, 70–73.
Sharing data while protecting privacy in citizen science.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Broman, D. J. A., Litvaitis, J. A., Ellingwood, M., Tate, P., and Reed, G. (2014). Modeling bobcat distributions using incidental observations and telemetry locations: are the results comparable? Wildlife Biology 20, 229–237.
Modeling bobcat distributions using incidental observations and telemetry locations: are the results comparable?Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Conrad, C. C., and Hilchey, K. G. (2010). A review of citizen science and community-based environmental monitoring: issues and opportunities. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 176, 273–291.
A review of citizen science and community-based environmental monitoring: issues and opportunities.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 20640506PubMed |

Chapron, G., Kaczensky, P., Linnell, J. D. C., von Arx, M., Huber, D., Andren, H., Lopez-Bao, J. V., Adamec, M., Alvares, F., Anders, O., Balčiauskas, L., Balys, V., Bedo, P., Bego, F., Blanco, J. C., Breitenmoser, U., Broseth, H., Bufka, L., Bunikytė, R., Ciucci, P., Dutsov, A., Engleder, T., Fuxjager, C., Groff, C., Holmala, K., Hoxha, B., Iliopoulos, Y., Ionescu, O., Jeremic, J., Jerina, K., Kluth, G., Knauer, F., Kojola, I., Kos, I., Krofel, M., Kubala, J., Kunovac, S., Kusak, J., Kutal, M., Liberg, O., Majic, A., Mannil, P., Manz, R., Marboutin, E., Marucco, F., Melovski, D., Mersini, K., Mertzanis, Y., Myslajek, R. W., Nowak, S., Odden, J., Ozolins, J., Palomero, G., Paunovic, M., Persson, J., Potocnik, H., Quenette, P. Y., Rauer, G., Reinhardt, I., Rigg, R., Ryser, A., Salvatori, V., Skrbinsek, T., Stojanov, A., Swenson, J. E., Szemethy, L., Trajce, A., Tsingarska-Sedefcheva, E., Vana, M., Veeroja, R., Wabakken, P., Wofl, M., Wolfl, S., Zimmermann, F., Zlatanova, D., and Boitani, L. (2014). Recovery of large carnivores in Europe’s modern human-dominated landscapes. Science 346, 1517–1519.
Recovery of large carnivores in Europe’s modern human-dominated landscapes.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 25525247PubMed |

Deutsch, W. G., and Ruiz-Córdova, S. S. (2015). Trends, challenges, and responses of a 20-year, volunteer water monitoring program in Alabama. Ecology and Society 20, 14.
Trends, challenges, and responses of a 20-year, volunteer water monitoring program in Alabama.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Eitzel, M. V., Cappadonna, J. L., Santos-Lang, C., Duerr, R. E., Virapongse, A., West, S. E., Kybs, C. C. M., Bowser, A., Cooper, C. B., Sforzi, A., Metcalfe, A. N., Harris, E. S., Thiel, M., Haklay, M., Ponciano, L., Roche, J., Ceccaroni, L., Shilling, F. M., Dörler, D., Heigl, F., Kiessling, T., Davis, B. Y., and Jiang, Q. (2017). Citizen science terminology matters: exploring key terms. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice 2, 1–20.
Citizen science terminology matters: exploring key terms.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Farhadinia, M. S., Moll, R. J., Montgomery, R. A., Ashrafi, S., Johnson, P. J., Hunter, L. T. B., and Macdonald, D. W. (2018). Citizen science data facilitate monitoring of rare large carnivores in remote montane landscapes. Ecological Indicators 94, 283–291.
Citizen science data facilitate monitoring of rare large carnivores in remote montane landscapes.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Fernández-Gil, A., Naves, J., Ordiz, A., Quevedo, M., Revilla, E., and Delibes, M. (2016). Conflict misleads large carnivore management and conservation: brown bears and wolves in Spain. PLoS One 11, e0151541.
Conflict misleads large carnivore management and conservation: brown bears and wolves in Spain.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 26974962PubMed |

Gamtos apsaugos asociacija ‘Baltijos vilkas’ (2019). Available at http://www.vilkai.lt/ [verified 10 April 2019].

Gonsamo, A., and D’Odorico, P. (2014). Citizen science: best practices to remove observer bias in trend analysis. International Journal of Biometeorology 58, 2159–2163.
Citizen science: best practices to remove observer bias in trend analysis.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 24596065PubMed |

Granroth-Wilding, H., Primmer, C., Lindqvist, M., Poutanen, J., Thalmann, O., Aspi, J., Harmoinen, J., Kojola, I., and Laaksonen, T. (2017). Non-invasive genetic monitoring involving citizen science enables reconstruction of current pack dynamics in a re-establishing wolf population. BMC Ecology 17, 44.
Non-invasive genetic monitoring involving citizen science enables reconstruction of current pack dynamics in a re-establishing wolf population.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 29258497PubMed |

Hayes, R. D., and Harestad, A. S. (2000). Demography of a recovering wolf population in the Yukon. Canadian Journal of Zoology 78, 36–48.
Demography of a recovering wolf population in the Yukon.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Herzog, S. (2018). Return of grey wolf (Canis lupus) to central Europe: challenges and recommendations for future management in cultural landscapes. Annals of Forest Research 61, 203–209.
Return of grey wolf (Canis lupus) to central Europe: challenges and recommendations for future management in cultural landscapes.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Hiedanpää, J., and Bromley, D. W. (2016). The problematic wolf. In ‘Environmental Heresies. The Quest for Reasonable’. pp. 163–188. (Palgrave Macmillan: London, UK.)

Horne, J. S., Ausband, D. E., Hurley, M. A., Struthers, J., Berg, J. E., and Groth, K. (2019). Integrated population model to improve knowledge and management of Idaho wolves. The Journal of Wildlife Management 83, 32–42.
Integrated population model to improve knowledge and management of Idaho wolves.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Jędrzejewski, W., Schmidt, K., Theuerkauf, J., Jędrzejewska, B., and Kowalczyk, R. (2007). Territory size of wolves Canis lupus: linking local (Białowieża Primeval Forest, Poland) and Holarctic-scale patterns. Ecography 30, 66–76.

Kamp, J., Oppel, S., Heldbjerg, H. H., Nyegaard, T., and Donald, P. F. (2016). Unstructured citizen science data fail to detect long-term population declines of common birds in Denmark. Diversity & Distributions 22, 1024–1035.
Unstructured citizen science data fail to detect long-term population declines of common birds in Denmark.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Kosmala, M., Wiggins, A., Swanson, A., and Simmons, B. (2016). Assessing data quality in citizen science. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 14, 551–560.
Assessing data quality in citizen science.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Krofel, M., Treves, A., Ripple, W. J., Chapron, G., and Lopez-Bao, J. V. (2015). Hunted carnivores at outsized risk. Science 350, 518–519.
Hunted carnivores at outsized risk.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 26516273PubMed |

Levin, P. S., Williams, G. D., Rehr, A., Norman, K. C., and Harvey, C. J. (2015). Developing conservation targets in social–ecological systems. Ecology and Society 20, 6.
Developing conservation targets in social–ecological systems.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Liberg, O., Aronson, Å., Sand, H., Wabakken, P., Maartmann, E., Svensson, L., and Åkesson, M. (2012). Monitoring of wolves in Scandinavia. Hystrix, the Italian Journal of Mammalogy 23, 29–34.

Lietuvos Respublikos Aplinkos Ministras (2014). Dėl vilko (Canis lupus) apsaugos plano patvirtinimo. Available at https://www.e-tar.lt/portal/lt/legalAct/5a65b7f03ccf11e498a79e861091cd92 [verified 15 January 2019].

Lietuvos Respublikos Aplinkos Ministras (2018). Dėl Lietuvos Respublikos aplinkos ministro 2000 m. birželio 27 d. įsakymo Nr. 258 “Dėl Medžioklės Lietuvos Respublikos teritorijoje taisyklių patvirtinimo” pakeitimo. Available at https://www.e-tar.lt/portal/legalAct.html?documentId=ca3dabf0d2d011e8bea9885f77677ec1 [verified 4 August 2020].

Lietuvos Respublikos Aplinkos Ministerija (2019). Sumedžioti vilkai. Available at http://am.lrv.lt/lt/veiklos-sritys-1/gamtos-apsauga/medziokle/sumedzioti-vilkai [verified 15 June 2019].

Llaneza, L., García, E. J., and López-Bao, J. V. (2014). Intensity of territorial marking predicts wolf reproduction: implications for wolf monitoring. PLoS One 9, e93015.
Intensity of territorial marking predicts wolf reproduction: implications for wolf monitoring.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar | 24663068PubMed |

Marucco, F., and McIntire, E. J. B. (2010). Predicting spatio‐temporal recolonization of large carnivore populations and livestock depredation risk: wolves in the Italian Alps. Journal of Applied Ecology 47, 789–798.
Predicting spatio‐temporal recolonization of large carnivore populations and livestock depredation risk: wolves in the Italian Alps.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Medžioklė (2020). Medžiotojai Lietuvoje. Available at http://www.lmzd.lt/lt/medziokle/medziotojai-lietuvoje/ [verified 2 August 2020].

Miller, D. A. W., Nichols, J. D., Gude, J. A., Rich, L. N., Podruzny, K. M., Hines, J. E., and Mitchell, M. S. (2013). Determining occurrence dynamics when false positives occur: estimating the range dynamics of wolves from public survey data. PLoS One 8, e65808.
Determining occurrence dynamics when false positives occur: estimating the range dynamics of wolves from public survey data.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Nowak, S., and Mysłajek, R. W. (2016). Wolf recovery and population dynamics in western Poland, 2001–2012. Mammal Research 61, 83–98.
Wolf recovery and population dynamics in western Poland, 2001–2012.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Oficialiosios Statistikos Portalas (2019). Teritorijos administracinis suskirstymas. Available at https://osp.stat.gov.lt/regionine-statistika-pagal-statistikos-sritis [verified 11 May 2019].

Olson, E. R., Stenglein, J. L., Shelley, V., Rissman, A. R., Browne‐Nuñez, C., Voyles, Z., Wydeven, A. P., and Van Deelen, T. (2015). Pendulum swings in wolf management led to conflict, illegal kills, and a legislated wolf hunt. Conservation Letters 8, 351–360.
Pendulum swings in wolf management led to conflict, illegal kills, and a legislated wolf hunt.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Ozoliņš, J., Žunna, A., Ornicāns, A., Done, G., Stepanova, A., Pilāte, D., Šuba, J., Lūkins, M., Howlett, S. J., and Bagrade, G. (2017). ‘Action Plan for Grey Wolf Canis lupus Conservation and Management.’ Available at https://www.daba.gov.lv/upload/File/DOC_SAP/AP_grey_wolf_17_EN.pdf [verified 10 April 2019].

Parsons, A. W., Rota, C. T., Forrester, T., Baker‐Whatton, M. C., McShea, W. J., Schuttler, S. G., Millspaugh, J. J., and Kays, R. (2019). Urbanization focuses carnivore activity in remaining natural habitats, increasing species interactions. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 1894–1904.
Urbanization focuses carnivore activity in remaining natural habitats, increasing species interactions.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Phillips, A. T. (2017). Bordering ecosystems: the rhetorical function of characterization in gray wolf management. Environmental Communication 11, 435–451.
Bordering ecosystems: the rhetorical function of characterization in gray wolf management.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Resnik, D. B., Elliott, K. C., and Miller, A. K. (2015). A framework for addressing ethical issues in citizen science. Environmental Science & Policy 54, 475–481.
A framework for addressing ethical issues in citizen science.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Rich, L. N., Russell, R. E., Glenn, E. M., Mitchell, M. S., Gude, J. A., Podruzny, K. M., Sime, C. A., Laudon, K., Ausband, D. E., and Nichols, J. D. (2013). Estimating occupancy and predicting numbers of gray wolf packs in Montana using hunter surveys. The Journal of Wildlife Management 77, 1280–1289.
Estimating occupancy and predicting numbers of gray wolf packs in Montana using hunter surveys.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Ronnenberg, K., Habbe, B., Gräber, R., Strauß, E., and Siebert, U. (2017). Coexistence of wolves and humans in a densely populated region (Lower Saxony, Germany). Basic and Applied Ecology 25, 1–14.
Coexistence of wolves and humans in a densely populated region (Lower Saxony, Germany).Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Salo, M., Hiedanpää, J., Luoma, M., and Pellikka, J. (2017). Nudging the impasse? Lessons from the nationwide online wolf management forum in Finland. Society & Natural Resources 30, 1141–1157.
Nudging the impasse? Lessons from the nationwide online wolf management forum in Finland.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Schroeder, S. A., Fulton, D. C., Cornicelli, L., and Bruskotter, J. T. (2018). How Minnesota wolf hunter and trapper attitudes and risk- and benefit-based beliefs predict wolf management preferences. Human Dimensions of Wildlife 23, 552–568.
How Minnesota wolf hunter and trapper attitudes and risk- and benefit-based beliefs predict wolf management preferences.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Sjölander-Lindqvist, A., Johansson, M., and Sandström, C. (2015). Individual and collective responses to large carnivore management: the roles of trust, representation, knowledge spheres, communication and leadership. Wildlife Biology 21, 175–185.
Individual and collective responses to large carnivore management: the roles of trust, representation, knowledge spheres, communication and leadership.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Špinkytė-Bačkaitienė, R., and Pėtelis, K. (2012). Diet composition of wolves (Canis lupus L.) in Lithuania. Acta Biologica Universitatis Daugavpiliensis 12, 100–105.

Thurber, J. M., and Peterson, R. O. (1993). Effects of population density and pack size on the foraging ecology of gray wolves. Journal of Mammalogy 74, 879–889.
Effects of population density and pack size on the foraging ecology of gray wolves.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Valstybinė Saugomų Teritorijų Tarnyba Prie Aplinkos Ministerijos (2020). Pranešimų apie vilkų, lūšių ir rudųjų lokių buvimą Lietuvoje registravimo anketa. Available at https://vstt.lrv.lt/lt/veiklos-sritys/biologines-ivairoves-apsauga/zveriu-apskaita [verified 1 February 2020].

Vercayie, D., and Herremans, M. (2015). Citizen science and smartphones take roadkill monitoring to the next level. Nature Conservation 11, 29–40.
Citizen science and smartphones take roadkill monitoring to the next level.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

von Essen, E., and Allen, M. P. (2017). From obstructionism to communication: local, national and transnational dimensions of contestations on the Swedish wolf cull controversy. Environmental Communication 11, 654–666.
From obstructionism to communication: local, national and transnational dimensions of contestations on the Swedish wolf cull controversy.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |

Zimen, E. (1976). On the regulation of pack size in wolves. Zeitschrift für Tierpsychologie 40, 300–341.
On the regulation of pack size in wolves.Crossref | GoogleScholarGoogle Scholar |